This is the WORST diplomatic calamity possible. The CONSEQUENCE is gonna be BAD... Aid cuts coming!~

ruticker 02.03.2025 12:34:33

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Recognized from a YouTube video by YouScriptor.com, For more details, follow the link This is the WORST diplomatic calamity possible. The CONSEQUENCE is gonna be BAD... Aid cuts coming!~

Hello everyone, this is Defense Politics AG, and, um, as you probably already know by now, it's such a big news event. Even people that I know who don't follow politics are talking to me about it. You know, the Trump and Zelensky show over in the White House, and, uh, it looks something like this: **destruction of your country. Yes, destruction of your country.** Yeah, but it looks something like this. So, um, I don't remember this scene, but it seems like it knows. Yeah, so anyway, this has become global news. The best thing about this is that this entire thing was live telecast across the entire freaking world. I have even seen a Chinese tabloid newspaper in Singapore reporting on this. The whole freaking world is talking about this, and, yeah, there are good and bad aspects. So before I start, I want to say that this is going to be the full breakdown of my opinions regarding this show over at the White House. I will not go minute by minute through the entire conversation and argument because it's kind of pointless. So I'm going to talk about all the surrounding consequences and whatnot. But yeah, as I said, this thing was fully telecast, and it's good in the sense that people literally got to watch the positions between Zelensky and Donald Trump. It really depends on where you stand on the political spectrum; you will agree with one side and disagree with the other side. So far, I feel like it still mainly divides down the line of people who are pro-Ukraine versus people who are just neutral or pro-Russia. It's still pretty much the same line as far as I can tell. Only people who are pro-Ukraine think that Zelensky is in the right in this argument. So far, the neutrals have basically seen this as, like, "What the hell is happening? Why is Zelensky not respecting Donald Trump in the White House?" They are guessing and whatnot, and, you know, sabotaging their own deals. While the people who are pro-Ukraine think that Donald Trump is attacking Zelensky and not siding with the victim. As usual, neutrals tend to be more pro-peace. Like my position with Palestine, a lot of people disagree because they are anti-Israel; they cannot see my point about just not fighting. But they care more about the line in the sand; they care more about the so-called territorial integrity. The same thing is happening in this situation. The people who are pro-Ukraine refuse to accept any form of loss of territorial integrity, and they keep saying that they are the victims, just like the pro-Palestine people. Exactly the same thing. That's why I say you guys are the same, but then they say, "No, we are different." But it's the same; actually, it's the same thing. The neutrals will just say, "No, I just want to stop seeing people dying. I just want the war to end. People can stop dying. I don't care about the line in the sand." And that's basically Donald Trump's position. He's literally neutral about Ukraine and Russia. He's only pro-United States. Just like I always say, I'm only pro-Singapore. If being pro-Trump or pro-United States is good for Singapore, then I will be pro-Trump Singapore. But Russia and Ukraine have literally nothing to do with my country. So, the same thing for Trump in his perspective; it doesn't matter. And he's basically, you know, if Zelensky wants to fight, then the mineral deal will be a good way to at least justify the United States to continue to send aid because they cannot account for all the money that was sent by Biden. So now, you know, Trump wants to make a deal. That's the whole point of the deal: for Donald Trump to feel like the United States did not make a loss at all in terms of the Ukraine issue. In the future, if Ukraine demands more ammunition and equipment, at least it is guaranteed to be paid for. So that's the point of the whole mineral deal. The entire deal is not pro-Ukraine at all in terms of Donald Trump's proposal; it's basically just to secure the national interest of the United States. That's about it. So, of course, he just wants to make a deal and stop the war. If stopping the war means Ukraine loses territory, that's a price Donald Trump is willing to pay because it's not his country. So that's also the main problem that Zelensky has: he cannot accept that they have to lose anything. Which is why, you know, there are all these arguments, debates, and quarrels that happen live on screen, which is really a poor sense of diplomacy. In fact, this is the worst diplomatic incident or the worst show of diplomacy I've ever seen since Zelensky caused the Ukraine war. The anti-diplomatic heating of the fan, where none of the Western countries, including the United States under Biden, or Zelensky himself, or any of these NATO countries or European countries, were willing to talk sense. They all insisted, despite an ultimatum from Putin, that continuing to insist that Ukraine will join NATO will result in war, and then nobody cares. So war happened. That is the last instance of the worst diplomatic circumstances or incidents that I've seen, and this is the next one. This is just as bad because, like you guys always hear me say, not every country needs a big brother. I always say this because that's the reality. Every smaller country needs a big brother, and there are only a few big brothers out there you can depend on. Of course, they are of different sizes, but the big ones—the three major ones—are Russia, China, and the United States. India is a small extent because India is not that influential on the global stage, but India could be one, but not that big. The real big ones are actually Russia, China, and the United States, particularly Russia and the United States. These are the two biggest brothers. These are the people that you depend on if you need to go to war; they will be supplying you with ammunition, military equipment, and military technologies. These are the only few countries that could help. China, to a smaller extent, but mainly Russia and the United States. So you can see the level of war we are talking about because one of these parties of war is one of these biggest brothers they can ever find, which is Russia. The only other big brother that could potentially help you fight against Russia or at least give you the kind of equipment to deal with Russia would be the United States or China. China, of course, at this moment looks like it's out of the question, but the United States is the only one left. The European Union as a whole, Europe as a whole, is no longer a major superpower at all. Not France, not the United Kingdom; their military has underspent for too long, for way too many years. They have not focused on their military. So generally speaking, Europe as a whole is horribly weak militarily. Poland is building up, so Poland is going to be a major player in the future in regional politics. But generally speaking, you cannot push the United States aside, but that's exactly what Zelensky has done by going into the White House and behaving as if it's okay to behave the way he did, like how he deals with the European leaders. Zelensky has been very powerful in the realm of European politics. In fact, he's probably the most powerful person in Europe right now because his war and his actions could potentially sink many politicians' careers in Europe. Many of these European countries have gone all in to support Ukraine because they have already bought into the narrative that supporting Ukraine is the only way to guarantee freedom and democracy, and that Russia is the ultimate evil, a massive aggressor, and they will come after the rest of Europe after Ukraine. If you have this narrative, then you cannot run away from the responsibility to help Ukraine. That is a fact. If you say that this is the front line right now, Russia is going to come after Ukraine, then the incentive is to fight Russia in Ukraine right now—not just sending equipment, but to actually send troops. But then somehow, they don't want to send troops. So I wrote on Twitter that from now on, I am going to advocate for Europe to send troops to Ukraine to literally join the war because I've had enough of this hypocrisy. I'll show you why in a while. So, yeah, Trump basically says to Zelensky, "You either make a deal or you're out," which is how deal-making works. In case you've never been in a business deal-making or in any kind of deal-making situation, I'm not sure what other situation you need to do deal-making—maybe with your wife or with your husband or with your kids. There is always a line that you must draw to say that if you cannot agree to this, then there's no deal; then everything is off the table. There must be this kind of line because if you go into a deal, going into a negotiation, and you cannot have no deal, then you are almost 100% going to compromise and lose. Basically, Trump is a master negotiator; he does not make a deal that he loses, at least not by much. So, you know, basically, it's no deal. From my understanding, the meeting between Zelensky and Trump was cut short. They had a schedule, right? So they basically ended way earlier, and Zelensky was sent off without Donald Trump saying goodbye. So Donald Trump welcomed Zelensky in, but when he left, he left without Donald Trump saying goodbye. So definitely, everything went to hell; there is no deal being signed. The mineral deal was not signed at all, so there was no talk about it, which is also why there was no more press conference after the meeting. Whatever happened in the Oval Office has basically spilled over into the negotiations, making the negotiation a non-go. So there is no deal right now, which means the situation has gone to hell. This is probably the worst diplomatic relationship between Ukraine and the United States since forever. They have never been so bad at each other. The relationship has never been so bad, and that's because Zelensky cannot control his mouth. This is something that I say many times against my own country's leader: it is important to control your mouth. You cannot just keep mouthing off. It is one thing to have thoughts; you can have very negative thoughts about Trump, and I clearly understand it's very easy to hate him. But diplomatically, you are not representing yourself; you're representing the country. You're talking as a country, then you have to control your emotions. But whatever happened, this is just terrible. It went so bad that, uh, Kaitlan Collins, I think she's a journalist, if I'm not wrong, yeah, she's a White House correspondent for CNN, basically said that this went to a shouting match. She took this photo, and the Ukrainian ambassador has his head in his hands by this point, saying, "Oh my God, what have you done?" I'm quite sure the ambassador has done a lot of work behind the scenes to make sure that there is somewhat of a deal, but it's all gone out the air, and she knows what's happening. So, um, the deal, in case you don't know, was modified after negotiations to become a fund. They developed a joint company where they would share 50/50 revenues between Ukraine and the United States. So basically, giving the United States an interest in Ukraine by trade, which means that there is a national interest for the United States to continue to support Ukraine. Now, there is the whole point of the deal: this is the first part of the deal to draw the United States into the Ukrainian situation so that there is a deal that protects Ukraine. That's actually the point of the deal. It's not just about getting things paid, but also in terms of the diplomatic situation. When Donald Trump goes into negotiation with Putin, he can say, "Okay, now we have a deal with Ukraine, so this is now our problem. Now it's our national interest." So you have to give us face because I already have this; 50% of this revenue is going to come to the United States, and this is going to be our issue. We cannot not care about Ukraine anymore, and Putin would have to negotiate around it and see how to make it work with the United States. But no, but this deal is gone. So, objectively speaking, there is nothing tying down the United States with Ukraine, and that's a bad thing for the peace negotiation or surrender documents or whatever you want to call it. Geopolitically, Ukraine becomes very useless for the United States. Not just that, um, Lindsey Graham made a very good point: Zelensky has basically made himself into a person that you cannot make a deal with. You cannot trade with him, and he has made Ukraine become uninvestable. You can't invest in Ukraine because you cannot trust the person on the other side to do right by the partner. So that is a problem right now, and it's not wrong. It's not wrong because Zelensky has no plans to end the war; this is quite clear. I did say that in the Munich Security Conference video. I did say that Ukraine has won the Munich Security Conference; they made it hell for the United States at the Munich Security Conference, and the Americans have never forgotten it. I have to say, the Americans are clearly very unhappy with Ukraine, but they continue to try to do something so that the war can end, and people can stop dying. That's the position of the United States. It's very similar to my position: I just want the war to end. I don't give a damn about the line in the sand. So that's what Americans are thinking too under this administration. This administration is thinking differently from Biden's administration. In Biden's administration, they were just using Ukraine to probably launder money, you know, do corruptions, and at the same time trying to see if they can collapse Russia, you know, to make Russia's life hell and making use of Ukraine to fight Slavs. That was the previous administration. This current administration is more humane; they just want the war to end. But no, that's not Ukraine's position. That's not what Zelensky wants. Zelensky wants weapons and ammunition. In fact, if they can, they want NATO troops to be on the ground to continue to fight Russia to the eventual victory of Ukraine and the eventual defeat or surrender of Russia. That's what Zelensky wants. And Putin clearly doesn't want that. I would say it's not impossible for a smaller power to ever achieve this. For example, Vietnam managed to defeat China when China invaded the northern part of Vietnam. When Vietnam went into Cambodia to remove the Khmer Rouge because the Khmer Rouge had attacked Vietnam and were massacring their own people, Vietnam had enough. They entered Cambodia, but because it was a protectorate, they were guaranteed by China. So China entered the war with Vietnam, and they suffered heavy losses. They managed to push a little bit into the northern part of Vietnam, but then they started to suffer the same things that the Americans suffered. Then China realized they were not going to achieve their strategic objectives, so they retreated and declared their own victory. Vietnam also, of course, lost a lot of men in this small little war with China, but no, Vietnam essentially won. They managed to pretty much mostly recapture their own territory. Ukraine is probably thinking the same thing. However, the circumstances are different. Russia is not fighting for themselves; China was fighting for a country that they supposedly were trying to guarantee. So, you know, it's a different thing. Russia has basically brainwashed themselves into believing that this war is existential for them. So you have Ukraine, of course, also thinking that this is existential. Now you have two parties that both think this is existential. One side has to give. Either they diplomatically decide that one side is willing to give up certain things or give up the war entirely, or they have to fight it out until the end. This is looking more likely to be the case. We're going to see them fight all the way to the end because Donald Trump is not going to help anymore. So that is the current situation. The deal is probably most likely off the table. So, you know, Zelensky on Fox News continues to repeat that they want security guarantees, and basically, he just keeps repeating himself many, many times. I listen to Zelensky quite a bit, so there's nothing particularly special. Basically, he just wants, I would say, in plain terms, he says a lot of things in many different ways. He keeps going around the bush. He says that he wants peace and whatnot. I can tell you simply: he just wants Russia to retreat entirely out of Ukraine. That's it. That is the peace that Zelensky is looking for, and it does not matter to Zelensky what way to achieve that, be it a war, be it to fight to the last Ukrainian, be it World War III. It does not matter to Zelensky as long as Russia eventually retreats out of Ukraine. That's the aim. So if this is the kind of plan that he has, then Donald Trump is not wrong to say that Zelensky has no interest in a peace deal. So which is correct, because what Zelensky wants is no longer a peace deal; that is basically a military victory or a total capitulation by Russia in this war of aggression. Because this is what it is: this is a war of aggression by Russia. It doesn't matter what the circumstances are. Valley, uh, Putin says, or what Russia tries to justify the war, it is a war of aggression because they are aggressively trying to end Ukraine's NATO dreams. However, Zelensky keeps saying, "See, uh, ceasefire without security guarantees? No, it's no point." He keeps trying to spin it as much as he can, saying that they are still friends of the United States because he knows, "You see, I just want to hear that America is on our side and America will stay with us, not with the Russians, with us." That's it. But this is, of course, just, you know, it's not real. The reason why he says all these things is because he cannot just cut the bridge entirely. As I said, the United States is the only big brother left that Zelensky can depend on, that Ukraine can depend on. But that's about it; there's no way out. So, the latest rumor, uh, is basically what I did say on multiple occasions, and I did say on Telegram and Twitter before as well, that there is a possibility—so these rumors, because this is an anonymous source, I don't really trust some anonymous sources—but basically, they say that this might end with a full cutting off of military aid to Ukraine by the Trump Administration. So this is, uh, this is the rumor, but this is actually echoing what I think might happen. A senior Administration official said that to the Washington Post anonymously, which, of course, means it might be fake news, that this might affect billions of dollars worth of radar vehicles, munitions, and missiles that are planned and awaiting shipment under the presidential drawdown authority. At this moment, uh, Donald Trump has not cut military aid to Ukraine, but military aid continues to flow into Ukraine, which Zelensky did confirm, you know, a month ago. But with this latest fracas, or fracas, um, Trump being Trump—because this is the art of the deal—if you are not brutal enough, people don't believe you. Trump has to make his point: if you really want to play hardball with the United States, then we're going to show you what hardball looks like, which means Trump is likely to cut off all military aid to Ukraine. In fact, if this thing continues to go downhill, what I think will happen is that Donald Trump is going to start sanctioning or tariffing any countries that continue to support Ukraine. The reason is not to support Russia; the reason is to force Ukraine to the negotiation table and sign that letter of surrender. That will be what is likely to happen to force a peace. It does not matter what the Ukrainians think. If the Ukrainians want to fight on, then they will have to fight on without support from anyone unless they're willing to take the full economic might of the United States. That is what I think is going to happen, and Ukraine will fight on, and then they will lose the war. This is why I think it's going to happen. So, the official dismissed claims that this test exchange is pre-planned. He said efforts were made to strike a more positive tone ahead of the meeting, and I can tell you this is true. Marco Rubio is the one that was negotiating with the Zelensky team, and he has zero love for the Ukrainians because he got screwed over in Munich, and he's very, very pissed off. He really detests the Ukrainians, and you can literally see it from his body language that he really hates to be there. But he has no choice because he's the Secretary of State, and the entire thing just went to hell. Marco Rubio is not as eloquent as JD Vance, and of course, he's not as powerful as Donald Trump because he's in front of Donald Trump. He cannot disrespect the hierarchy, which is why we saw the exchange between JD Vance and Zelensky. JD Vance was just trying to protect Donald Trump; he's trying to say, "You should behave yourself because you are now being very disrespectful." Zelensky just doubled down, doubled down, to the point that Donald Trump was like, "Yeah, this needs to happen." Then he let it happen, and then he shut up after he had enough. If you have ever watched *The Apprentice*, you might have seen scenes like this during *The Apprentice* where Donald Trump was the boss, and then, you know, all these people wanted to get a job with the Trump organization. These scenes actually mirror some of the scenes during *The Apprentice* where Donald Trump was just keeping quiet, watching, and you see the contestants just fighting each other, debating. In the end, he's like, "You are fired! You are fired! You are fired!" Just that, you know, in this position, he can't fire them, but it's very similar. He basically tells Zelensky that, "No, it's over." So, this is, uh, yeah, this is the situation that is likely to happen. This is what I think is going to happen. I followed Trump for a long time. I used to be his fan when he was, you know, running *The Apprentice*, and then I supported his running for presidency because I was worried that a Hillary presidency would be bad for the world. Luckily, he won, which I actually predicted correctly because I was watching RT to understand U.S. politics, and RT is very spot on about a lot of things, which made me realize a lot of problems that were happening within the United States. I realized that if this is the case, then Donald Trump is going to win. So indeed, he won, and he had four years. But prior to him declaring his run for president, Donald Trump became very irritating. He was very, very noisy and mouthy, and kept attacking Obama, and sometimes the attacks were just ridiculous, and I couldn't stand it. But when he was the president, yeah, he actually outperformed what I thought he could do. In fact, this current new term, this one month or so, he has already outperformed what I thought he could do by miles, like, you know, by multiple times. So, you know, he always outperforms my expectations. I think there's a good reason why, you know, I like Trump. I mostly support most of the things that he does and says. Of course, you know, he can be very hard to grasp, but because I've been supporting him and observing him for a long time, I can tell you this is not good. I really say it's not good during the Munich Security Conference issue. This is not good. So that's why I say Donald Trump is likely going to teach Zelensky a lesson about diplomacy, decorum, and respect. I think he's going to cut aid to Ukraine, and he might even go further by forcing everyone to stop supporting Ukraine. This is why I think, and yeah, tariffs and sanctions—I won't be surprised on any country that wants to continue to support the war because he will just label all these European countries or any country that continues to send aid to Ukraine as war mongers. This is why I think it's going to happen, and he will continue to talk to Russia and continue to negotiate a deal with Russia, and this time around, it will be without the Europeans. It will be without the Ukrainians, and yeah, things are going further and further away from the best-case scenario. The best-case scenario right now for Ukraine is simply a surrender where they only lose the four oblasts plus Crimea. That is the best-case scenario right now. That means they have to give up the four oblasts, Donetsk, Luhansk, and Crimea. So the four oblasts plus Crimea, they have to give it up. This is the best-case scenario. There is not going to be a better case. So that's the best-case scenario, and they're not going to be able to join NATO. They are still going to be able to join the EU, but they're going to have a limited army. This is the best-case scenario, and basically, this is a total win for Russia. That is the best case, and it's already a total win for Russia. But any other alternative, I think, is going to be worse, and now we are looking at worse. So anyway, that's it. Thank you for watching. Press the like button, subscribe. It's a very long video, a very long opinion video on this, a lot of geopolitical intrigue that I want to share. Yeah, you may disagree, but I'm going to say what I want to say because I've been proven right many, many times. So yeah, I think people may not bother, but I bother because I want to be able to analyze things as accurately as possible or as logically as possible. And yeah, that's just what I hope to do, and hopefully, people can be more educated or at least more aware of how geopolitics work. No moral ethics doesn't matter that much, at least not the way you think it works in diplomacy. So that's it. I'll see you guys in the next update.

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